How to Identify Likely Disasters in an Area…: Skill 35
How to Identify the Most Likely Disasters in Your Area
Use the Rule of 3s as a foundation:
3 seconds without security
3 minutes without air
3 hours without shelter
3 days without water
3 weeks without food
3 months without companionship
This is just a guideline, but it helps you think clearly.
Step 1: Think Local
Ask yourself two key questions:
What’s the worst-case natural disaster in your area?
What’s the worst-case man-made disaster in your area?
Example (Utah - Wasatch Front):
Natural: Massive earthquake
Destroys shelter, power, food access, heating/cooling, payment systems
Solution: Have essentials in your RV or another secure location
Man-made: EMP or war
No power, no comms, no heating/cooling
Solution: Use fireplace, open windows, keep cash, pre-cooked food, solar tools
Step 2: Plan to Get Home
Disasters often happen when you’re not at home. Ask:
Can you walk home if needed?
Do you have the right shoes and gear in your bag?
Does your family have a rally point?
Can you communicate without cell service?
Do you have security if you’re moving after dark?
Can you stash a bike, scooter, or e-vehicle at work?
Bottom Line
Use the Rule of 3s as your framework.
Prepare for the worst case, and everything else becomes easier.
Make your plan today.
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Frequently Asked Questions:
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Study the most common risks in your local area first.
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Different regions face different threats.
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Yes, historical patterns often repeat.
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Preparing for rare events while ignoring common ones.
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At least once each year.
